Analysis

Macro Analysis ### USD/CHF Rallies Despite Flat Yield Spread – Here’s What to Watch This Week Price & Spread Relationship (Divergence) The historical correlation between USD/CHF and the US–Switzerland 10-year yield spread sits at just 0.08, so we rarely see a tight link. Recent price action confirms this weak tie. From June 12 to June […]

Macro Analysis ### NZD/USD Dives as Yield Spread Turns Negative – Watch for Key US Data Price Action Breakdown NZD/USD keeps sliding. From late May near 0.5960, the pair dropped to 0.5711 by June 23. That’s a steady decline, with no meaningful bounce. The daily chart shows lower highs and lower lows. Current price hovers

Macro Analysis EUR/USD Daily Analysis: Relationship with MacroFlow Index Price Action (Daily & Weekly View) EUR/USD has moved in a strong uptrend from December 2024 lows near 1.025 to highs above 1.20 in January 2026. Over the past few months, the pair pulled back from the 1.20 area and now trades around 1.145–1.16. The daily

COT Analysis EUR/JPY price rises strongly from early 2025 through mid-2026, while the COT sentiment (commercial vs. speculative net positions) shifts from deeply negative to highly positive, showing a long-term convergence that supports the uptrend. However, in late 2025 and early 2026, the price makes new highs while the COT ratio begins to flatten or

Macro Analysis “GBP/USD and Yield Spread: Converging Trends Signal a Pause?” On the daily timeframe, GBPUSD has been edging lower since late May, sliding from the 1.3550 area to around 1.3416 by mid-June. The price remains well within a broader range between 1.32 and 1.36, lacking clear directional momentum. Over the same period, the UK-US

Macro Analysis From late May to mid-June, USD/JPY trades in a tight range near 159–160.5, with a recent high of 160.527 on June 11. The Macroflow Index hovers around 98.86–98.93, showing little net change despite USD/JPY’s slight upswing. **Correlation and Divergence** The historical correlation between USD/JPY and the Macroflow Index is only 0.32, so the

Macro Analysis **USD/CAD Daily Analysis: Price vs. Macroflow Index** From late 2024 through early 2025, USD/CAD trended higher, peaking near 1.4460 in December 2024. The Macroflow Index also rose during this period, but its gains were more muted. This created a divergence – the pair outpaced the index, suggesting the rally in USD/CAD was partly

Macro Analysis **NZD/USD Diverges from Yields – What the Low Correlation Tells Us Right Now** NZD/USD currently trades near 0.5888, while the NZ-US 10-year yield spread sits at 0.396%. Over the past few months, these two have moved in opposite directions. Since mid-March, the Kiwi rallied from 0.572 to 0.593, but the yield spread actually

Macro Analysis **NZD/USD Tests Key Support as Yield Spread Influence Fades: What’s Next?** On the daily chart, NZD/USD shows a clear bearish trend since its peak near 0.607 in late February. The price has steadily declined, breaking below several previous support levels to trade around 0.584 by late March. This downward move establishes a series

Macro Analysis USD/JPY Breaks Its Usual Link to Yields: What Traders Need to Watch Now The USD/JPY has shown a clear bearish trend on the daily chart over the past several months, moving from highs near 159.70 in early 2026 down to recent levels around 147. This significant decline occurred alongside a steady narrowing of