Macro Analysis On the daily timeframe, EUR/GBP has been trading in a relatively tight range. After reaching a local high near 0.8583 on August 20, the pair drifted lower to around 0.8554 by August 26. That move shows a clear lack of follow-through buying above 0.858. Price is now sitting below that short-term resistance, with […]
Why EUR/GBP’s Latest Push Up Lacks the Fuel It Had in July Read More »
Macro Analysis The MacroFlow Index is a proprietary index created to track the pair’s fundamentals, and tracks the following: Australia/US 10Y Gov. Yield Spread, Australia/US Stocks Index Ratio, Gold Futures, Iron Ore 62% Fe CFR China Futures. Its historical correlation with AUD/USD is 0.81, so when the two move apart, traders pay attention. On the
From 0.688 to 0.717: AUD/USD’s Summer Rally Faces CPI Test Read More »
Macro Analysis The MacroFlow Index is a proprietary index created to track the pair’s fundamentals, and tracks the following: Germany/US 10Y Gov. Yield Spread, Germany/US Stocks Index Ratio, Gold Futures. Its historical correlation with EUR/USD is 0.63, but the past two weeks show a clear divergence between price and this fundamental composite. On the daily
EUR/USD sits at 1.1690, facing a two-point test next week Read More »
Macro Analysis ### USD/CHF: The Yield Spread Is Lying to You – Here’s What the Market Really Says Price Action on the Daily: The pair launched a massive rally from the 0.763 low in late January 2026 to retest the 0.81 handle in June. But the move isn’t a straight line. After peaking near 0.8125
USD/CHF at 0.81: Why the Yield Spread and Price Are Sending Different Signals Read More »
Macro Analysis GBP/USD: Yield Spread Diverges, But Price Breaks Support – What Traders Need to Know Recent daily price action shows GBP/USD breaking below the 1.32 support zone, with the pair settling around 1.317 in late June 2026. This marks a clear shift from the sideways range of 1.33–1.36 seen through most of May and
What’s Driving GBP/USD Below 1.32 When Yield Spreads Tell a Different Story? Read More »
Macro Analysis From December 2024 to June 2026, EUR/USD shows a moderate positive correlation (0.52) with the MacroFlow Index. Both moved broadly higher from early 2025 into early 2026, then turned lower. Lately, both are declining, but a subtle divergence appears: the MacroFlow Index flattened around 103.03 from June 24–25, while EUR/USD continued dropping from
Why EUR/USD Fell Even as a Key Yield Gap Narrowed in Favor of the Euro Read More »
Macro Analysis ### USD/CHF Rallies Despite Flat Yield Spread – Here’s What to Watch This Week Price & Spread Relationship (Divergence) The historical correlation between USD/CHF and the US–Switzerland 10-year yield spread sits at just 0.08, so we rarely see a tight link. Recent price action confirms this weak tie. From June 12 to June
USD/CHF Hits 0.8088 While Yield Spread Sits Flat – What’s Driving It? Read More »
Macro Analysis ### NZD/USD Dives as Yield Spread Turns Negative – Watch for Key US Data Price Action Breakdown NZD/USD keeps sliding. From late May near 0.5960, the pair dropped to 0.5711 by June 23. That’s a steady decline, with no meaningful bounce. The daily chart shows lower highs and lower lows. Current price hovers
NZD/USD Tests 0.5700 Support as US Inflation Data Looms Read More »
Discover the key differences between the COT report and the Traders of Financial Futures (TFF) report. Learn how each report categorizes traders and which one is better for forex trading analysis.
COT Report vs Traders of Financial Futures: Key Differences Explained Read More »
Macro Analysis EUR/USD Daily Analysis: Relationship with MacroFlow Index Price Action (Daily & Weekly View) EUR/USD has moved in a strong uptrend from December 2024 lows near 1.025 to highs above 1.20 in January 2026. Over the past few months, the pair pulled back from the 1.20 area and now trades around 1.145–1.16. The daily
EUR/USD Converges With Yield Spreads: Why 1.14 Support Matters Now Read More »